EU leaders alarmed by prospect of UK making ready smartly for no deal, claims Duncan Smith – Politics reside

EU leaders alarmed by prospect of UK making ready smartly for no deal, claims Duncan Smith – Politics reside





Afternoon abstract

  • Gash Boles, a Conservative historical minister, has suggested that he would vote with Labour in opposition to the authorities in a self assurance spin to block a no-deal Brexit. (Seek for 5.20am.) Anna Soubry, one other legit-European, has posted a message on Twitter suggesting that she feels the identical technique.

Anna Soubry MP
(@Anna_Soubry)

You, me and varied moderate One Nation Tories. Nation should always attain forward of occasion allegiance #NationalInterest #accountability #Brexit https://t.co/wW49MbvJ23


December 18, 2018

(Not like Boles, Soubry would be on the tip of a shortlist of MPs possibly to take this stance. She has spoken publicly within the previous about the conditions that can possibly per chance merely force her to head away the occasion.). In response, the Labour MP Wes Streeting posted this on Twitter.

Wes Streeting MP
(@wesstreeting)

It’s fully taken a topic of hours on yarn of the Cabinet for Tory MPs to substantiate that a ‘no deal’ protection would spoil up the Conservative Occasion and elevate down the Authorities. Hope @theresa_may understands how unpleasant her strive and blackmail Parliament appears to be like – and how grotesquely costly.


December 18, 2018

  • The cabinet has agreed to implement the authorities’s no-deal Brexit plans in paunchy. (Seek for 2.07pm.)
  • A row has broken out at cabinet over suggestions from some ministers that a “managed no deal” might possibly per chance merely be acceptable. Basically essentially based on PoliticsHome, Philip Hammond, the chancellor, and David Gauke, the justice secretary, both spoke out by inequity at cabinet. Gauke reportedly said:


Managed no-deal is no longer a viable possibility. It’s no longer on offer from the EU and the accountability of cabinet ministers is no longer to propagate unicorns nevertheless to raze them.

At cabinet Amber Rudd, the work and pensions secretary, also spoke out in opposition to the dangers of a no-deal Brexit, announcing that marvelous on yarn of you wear a seat-belt, it doesn’t suggest you ought to shatter the vehicle. (For some reason, Rudd appears to be like to luxuriate in a necessity for utilizing metaphors when handing over warnings about Brexit.)

That’s all from me for nowadays.

Thanks for the comments.

Up as much as now





Tory historical minister suggests he would vote with Labour in no self assurance spin to block no-deal Brexit

This morning the Tory Brexiter Jacob Rees-Mogg said that legit-Europeans within the occasion posed a worthy greater threat to Theresa Could possibly and her majority than Brexiters cherish himself. (Seek for 9.34am.) All individuals is conscious of luxuriate in the important thing fragment of proof that he’s horny.

Gash Boles, a historical minister, has marvelous posted these two messages on Twitter. He is announcing that, if Theresa Could possibly determined to opt for a no deal (as she implies she’s going to, if her deal gets voted down – though she is reluctant to substantiate that with a hundred% toddle within the park), he’s going to resign the occasion whip and “vote in any technique vital” to conclude that occuring. That clearly implies that he would be energetic to vote with Labour in a self assurance spin.

That is attention-grabbing on yarn of, ought to you needed to plot up a list of Tory MPs likely to sacrifice their careers within the occasion within the pursuits of torpedoing a no-deal Brexit, Boles would no longer be an obvious candidate for the shortlist. He did vote remain within the referendum, nevertheless then he managed Michael Gove’s doomed leadership advertising campaign (no longer a job that can possibly per chance well allure to most diehard remainers) and he has no longer been a prominent legit-European riot within the Commons. He has also been linked no longer too long ago with the “Norway for now” concept, which at one point used to be floated as a stepping stone to a Canada-vogue Brexit within the very long time length (ie, a rather provocative Brexit).

If Boles feels this technique, then there is a proper likelihood that no longer lower than six varied Tories to 2. And that can possibly per chance smartly be about the volume wished for Could possibly to lose a self assurance vote.

Gash Boles MP
(@NickBoles)

The Cabinet spent this morning discussing preparations for ‘no deal’ Brexit. I accept that it is some distance prudent for the authorities to prepare for all eventualities. But I owe my constituents and my colleagues total readability about my order.


December 18, 2018

Gash Boles MP
(@NickBoles)

If at any point between now and 29 March the authorities were to remark that ‘no deal’ Brexit had develop into its protection, I’d straight away resign the Conservative whip and vote in any technique vital to conclude it from occurring.


December 18, 2018





Justine Greening says it is some distance ‘merely imperfect’ for MPs to take two-week Christmas spoil while Brexit disaster unresolved

In the Commons Brexit debate Justine Greening, the Conservative legit-European historical cabinet minister, said there used to be “no excuse” for delaying the vote on the Brexit deal except the heart of January. She said:


We now luxuriate in spent two and a 1/2 years going round in circles and we won’t merely scurry nowhere, now we desire to now take some selections about going someplace …

MPs on this order would be happy to lengthen recess, frankly I’d be happy to take a seat down thru Christmas and into the fresh year if it meant we might possibly per chance to find a course on Brexit for businesses and individuals that desire toddle within the park about where this nation is going.

Of us merely received’t perceive why this order is packing up and having a two week vacation after we face the ideal constitutional disaster that this nation has had in a long time, it is some distance merely imperfect, the authorities has to recognise this.





As HuffPost reports, commenting on the announcement from Gavin Williamson, the defence secretary, that three,500 troops shall be on standby to abet within the occasion of a no-deal Brexit disaster, Downing Avenue said:


The MoD [Ministry of Defence] has a extraordinarily long-standing and main function in the case of wise planning for contingencies.

Leer relieve to events within the most modern previous where the navy luxuriate in performed that function, much like one day of the Olympics [when private firm G4S failed to provide enough security staff], where they did an very marvelous job.





Severin Carrell

Scotland’s Brexit minister, Mike Russell, has been accused of offering “imprecise assurances” about preparations for a no-deal Brexit by the Scottish Greens, who’re pressing the Scottish authorities to submit its contingency plans.

Ross Greer, the Scottish Greens’ Europe spokesman at Holyrood, received an assurance from Russell his officers would concept into releasing those plans after Russell had told MSPs the Scottish authorities’s resilience committee had been mobilised to devise for Brexit.

Russell said officers were making ready for severe disruption of goods within the occasion of a no deal Brexit; meals security and preserving exports; and the continuing offer of medicines and clinical devices. The Times reported nowadays that Baxters Meals Neighborhood, the eponymous Scottish soup and jam-making firm, used to be stockpiling substances in case of a provocative Brexit.

Russell told MSPs:


A ‘no deal’ Brexit is no longer yet inevitable – indeed, neither is leaving the EU the least bit – and I once extra roam the high minister to rule out a ‘no deal’. But as a to blame authorities we won’t wait to any extent additional. The implications and risks are too pressing and too severe.

The legit-independence Scottish Greens luxuriate in been largely fixed allies for the Scottish authorities on Brexit nevertheless Greer said after the commentary he used to be no longer impressed. He said Scottish voters had a sexy to know precisely what ministers were making ready for and planning. He said:


A no-deal Brexit is an huge threat to main health products and companies, worthy of our meals and gasoline, and even the water offer. The UK authorities might possibly per chance merely be the definition of disaster on the different hand it has no longer lower than printed its one hundred and five no deal preparation notices.

Imprecise assurances from the Scottish authorities will no longer be ample. MSPs luxuriate in a accountability to abet prepare the nation as most efficient we are in a position to for the chaos a provocative Brexit would trigger. Each and every we and the public should always know what the concept is.





Cable accuses authorities of utilizing no-deal planning as ‘psychological wrestle’

Here is some response to the Number 10 announcement that the authorities is now imposing its no-deal Brexit planning in paunchy.

Labour Brexit spokeswoman Jenny Chapman said:


It’s testament to the high minister’s failure in these negotiations that the authorities is now spending billions of kilos of taxpayers’ money to prepare for a no-deal Brexit that’s rejected by parliament and many of those sat round the cupboard desk.

And the Lib Dem leader Sir Vince Cable said:


The choice to ramp up the no-deal rigidity is psychological wrestle. The Conservative authorities are attempting to alarm MPs, businesses and the public with the specter of a no-deal.

Theresa Could possibly is irresponsibly attempting to roam down the clock so that the fully possibility is to purple meat up her discredited deal.

It’s time to conclude taking half in political video games with our future and take the concerns at hand severely. The fully proper technique out of this impasse is to defend a of us’s vote, with the possibility to remain within the EU.

Vince Cable outside the Palace of Westminster in London

Vince Cable outside the Palace of Westminster in London Picture: Phil Apt/Reuters




The Spectator’s James Forsyth has written a weblog with some proper element about what used to be said at nowadays’s cabinet. Here’s an excerpt.


Philip Hammond wired on the assembly that what they were doing ought to be considered as a precaution, no longer a protection discipline. He warned that the concept of a managed no deal used to be a ‘unicorn’. He took scream with the theory that no deal ought to be the central planning assumption of authorities—one thing that both Sajid Javid and Liz Truss had pushed for. David Lidington, the nice deputy PM, prevented any argument from breaking out by announcing that no deal ought to be the major operational focal point of authorities, a phrase that gave the influence to meet all sides.





Severin Carrell

The Scottish authorities has given the electorate suggestion bureau network £800,000 over the next three years to roam a free suggestion provider for EU nationals attempting to navigate the complex principles round their residency and employment rights after Brexit.

A decision of CABs will delivery up offering products and companies straight away forward of the provider goes reside in early March 2019, Ben Macpherson, the Scottish migration minister, presented on Tuesday.

The suggestion will contain the requirements placed on EU electorate, abet with the salvage settlement software program machine being build in order by the UK authorities, and offer to escalate difficult or complex cases to a helpline led by kindly solicitors, he said.

The Scottish authorities has build heavy emphasis on the plight of about 223,000 EU electorate living in Scotland, particularly those working in public products and companies such because the NHS, who luxuriate in been struggling to prepare for the impacts of Brexit.

Previous to a scurry to to a CAB in his Edinburgh North and Leith constituency, Macpherson said his authorities wished to “mumble up for and in purple meat up of EU electorate at this perilous and anxious time.” Their contribution used to be valued, he said, adding:


All those of us non-public such an huge contribution to our economy, our public products and companies, to our communities, to our custom, to our tax take, to our GDP, and so they’re our pals, neighbours, colleagues.

Ben Macpherson MSP
(@BenMacpherson)

Extra abet to defend in #Scotland: @CitAdviceScot network will provide a brand fresh suggestion provider to #EU electorate in Scotland littered with adjustments within the immigration principles on yarn of #Brexit, funded by £800,000 over three years by @scotgov.#WeAreScotlandhttps://t.co/zbnPlX6cop pic.twitter.com/DhVCWonRdS


December 18, 2018





Could possibly would never agree to no-deal Brexit on yarn of she is conscious of it’d be ‘catastrophic’, says Starmer

Sir Keir Starmer, the shadow Brexit secretary, told MPs in his speech within the Brexit debate that he failed to non-public Theresa Could possibly would ever authorise a no-deal Brexit. He defined:


Talking of no deal has always been misguided and, in my study about, deeply irresponsible.

Treasury estimates of a no deal final consequence would be a 9.three% decline in GDP over 15 years. It might possibly per chance well perceive every build of the UK worse off. It might possibly per chance well mean 20% tariffs on agrifoods, and main tariffs on manufactured goods. It might possibly per chance well also mean no general security arrangements in order and a provocative border in Northern Eire. It might possibly per chance well be catastrophic for the UK. That’s why no deal has never in actuality been a viable possibility. It’s a political hoax, and deep down, deep down, I non-public the authorities, and this high minister, is conscious of it.

I know from non-public experience how severely she takes security arrangements for the United Kingdom. [Starmer was director of public prosecutions when May was home secretary.] To build us in a order where that will almost certainly be jeopardised is no longer one thing that, deep down, I non-public she thinks might possibly per chance smartly be acceptable for this nation.

Starmer also said that a Labour analysis of the no-deal technical notices printed by the authorities within the summertime confirmed that no deal would require the arrival or expansion of 15 quangos, additional regulations in Fifty one areas, the negotiation of Forty fresh global agreements, and the introduction of fifty five fresh programs. “It’s no longer credible to faux that that can possibly per chance by carried out by 29 March,” he said. A no-deal Brexit used to be “fully lacking in viability”, he argued.

Keir Starmer

Keir Starmer Picture: Parliament TV




SNP urges authorities to submit ‘sobering’ secret reports on influence of no-deal Brexit

MPs are currently preserving the emergency debate on the EU summit and Theresa Could possibly’s Brexit deal proposed by the SNP.

It used to be opened by Ian Blackford, the SNP’s leader at Westminster. He said he had considered secret authorities reports on the influence of a no-deal Brexit, in his ability as a member of the privy council, and that the dinky print were “sobering”. He told MPs:


The toddle within the park shared with me ought to now be made public. It’s sobering.

The major job of any authorities is to offer protection to the pursuits of its of us.

This authorities is wilfully exposing its electorate to distress, whether it is some distance on job security, procurement of medicines, meals offer or indeed on airplane being in a space to take off.

We now desire to wake as much as the influence of Brexit and the alternatives which would possibly possibly per chance be in entrance of us.

Blackford also accused the Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn of being “the midwife of Brexit” on the bottom that Corbyn has didn’t desk a spin of no self assurance within the authorities. Blackford said:


The leader of the opposition has develop into the midwife for Brexit.

The leader of the opposition is letting the authorities off the hook – he has it in his reward to raise a forward a no self assurance spin that can take a look at the need of the Home and, crucially, will permit his occasion to transfer onto the scream of a of us’s vote.

Ian Blackford

Ian Blackford Picture: Parliament TV




I posted a snap abstract of the Number 10 foyer briefing at 2.07pm. Here are some extra dinky print from what used to be said no longer already coated.

  • Info for folks, telling them what they ought to originate to prepare for a no-deal Brexit, shall be rolled out within the following couple of weeks, the high minister’s spokesman said.
  • Cabinet ministers were provided a decision of three alternatives at nowadays’s assembly: carrying on as now, imposing no-deal plans on a case by case foundation; imposing no-deal plans “in paunchy”; or scaling relieve no-deal planning. Cabinet agreed on the 2d possibility.
  • The spokesman said the authorities had distributed extra than £4bn for spending on Brexit planning. An announcement about how £2bn of that will almost certainly be spent is due imminently. The spokesman said it used to be no longer attainable to affirm how worthy of this money would flip out to be “wasted” within the occasion of a no-deal Brexit no longer occurring. That used to be on yarn of the money used to be being spent on issues cherish fresh programs, which were required below both scenarios, though below varied timescales.
  • The spokesman confirmed that the authorities’s no-deal plans including chartering space on horrid-channel transport, so that if vital it has the ability to raise in affords, including clinical affords.
  • The spokesman refused to affirm whether businesses with contingency plans that incorporated though-provoking in a single other nation within the occasion of a no-deal would be encouraged to head that some distance. He said the authorities used to be advising companies to implement their obtain no-deal contingency plans “as they non-public vital”.
  • The spokesman said that he used to be no longer attentive to any reasons why of us ought to no longer continue to e book Easter holidays provocative flying into the EU. He said the authorities had already printed knowledge about the plans in order to defend planes flying within the occasion of a no deal.
  • Larger than 25 individuals of the cupboard spoke on the assembly, which lasted round two and a 1/2 hours – longer than frequent.
  • The spokesman failed to reveal reports that the case for MPs being given an indicative vote on varied Brexit alternatives used to be talked about. (Seek for 12.17pm.) But he said it remained the case that there were “no plans” for a vote of that style.

10 Downing Avenue.

10 Downing Avenue. Picture: Toby Melville/Reuters

Up as much as now





Sir Discover Sedwill, the cupboard secretary, no longer too long ago said he wished to crack down on cabinet leaks. That doesn’t seem like going smartly. These are from my colleague Heather Stewart and Sky’s Beth Rigby on what took place at cabinet.

Heather Stewart
(@GuardianHeather)

Amber Rudd it appears to be like told this morning’s cabinet that ramping up no deal spending used to be a lustrous precaution. “Ideally obliging on yarn of you build a seatbelt on, doesn’t mean you shatter the vehicle”.


December 18, 2018

Heather Stewart
(@GuardianHeather)

Additionally told Damian Hinds resumed his push for indicative votes on Brexit alternatives; and (as anticipated) Penny Mordaunt and Andrea Leadsom insisted Brexit ought to head forward in March, even with out a deal.


December 18, 2018

Beth Rigby
(@BethRigby)

I’m clear the message from be cabinet shall be No 10’s heading paunchy steam into no deal planning. 1) Could possibly hopes this might merely build rigidity on EU 2) Could possibly hopes this might merely give her some Brexiteer respiration space three) Attention shifts away from 2d ref …. nevertheless 1/2


December 18, 2018

Beth Rigby
(@BethRigby)

The anti-No Deal cabinet neighborhood isn’t going alongside. Supply tells me Gauke – who I used to be told has b4 nowadays said publicly in cabinet he received’t accept No Deal – told cabinet that the No Deal unicorn desires slaughtering (h/t @Steven_Swinford)


December 18, 2018

Beth Rigby
(@BethRigby)

NEW: cabinet offer tells me Rudd also knowledgeable caution on No Deal, announcing this might no longer develop into default govt possibility & PM needed to work horrid occasion. Told she said; “Ideally obliging on yarn of you’ve build a seatbelt on, it doesn’t mean you ought to shatter the vehicle.”


December 18, 2018

Beth Rigby
(@BethRigby)

And likewise told that the order of a decision of cabinet ministers mute stands after that cabinet meet, they might possibly per chance merely no longer purple meat up a No Deal Brexit


December 18, 2018

Beth Rigby
(@BethRigby)

Am told that Gauke told cabinet that he wished the possibility nearer the time no conclude No Deal #cabinet


December 18, 2018





three,500 troops on standby to abet in occasion of any no-deal Brexit disaster, MPs told

Peter Walker

Gavin Williamson, the defence secretary, has been within the Commons making a press launch about defence modernisation. For the length of the exchanges the Tory MP Will Quince asked Williamson if he had bought “any approaches from varied authorities departments about utilizing our world-class navy personnel within the occasion of a no-deal Brexit”.

Williamson spoke back:


We’ve as yet no longer had any formal requests from any authorities departments. But what are doing is striking contingency plans in order, and what we can originate is luxuriate in three,500 provider personnel held at readiness, including regulars and reserves, in voice to purple meat up any authorities department on any contingencies they might possibly per chance luxuriate in.


UK has three,500 troops on standby in occasion of no-deal Brexit – video

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Downing Avenue foyer briefing – Snap abstract

That is what the high minister’s spokesman told journalists about nowadays’s cabinet assembly.


Cabinet this morning talked about the continuing preparations for leaving the European Union.

They agreed that handing over the deal that the high minister agreed with Brussels remains the authorities’s top precedence and our most efficient no deal mitigation.

On the different hand, the authorities’s persevered accountability is to prepare for every eventuality, including a no-deal scream.

Ministers acknowledged the intensive the steps undertaken to originate that, including publishing 106 technical notices and 320 no-deal workstreams ongoing at some stage in departments.

Cabinet agreed that, with marvelous over three months except our exit from the European Union, now we luxuriate in reached the purpose were now we desire to ramp up these preparations. This means we can now build in spin the finest parts of our no-deal plans.

Cabinet also agreed to counsel businesses now also be clear they’re in a similar vogue ready, enacting their obtain no-deal plans as they non-public vital.

Electorate ought to also prepare in step with the technical notices issued within the summertime and in step with additional, extra detailed suggestion that can now be issued over the arriving weeks.

And listed below are the principle parts.

  • The cabinet has agreed to implement the authorities’s no-deal Brexit plans “in paunchy”. The spokesman told reporters: “We now luxuriate in our no-deal plans and we can implement them in paunchy.”
  • Agencies and participants are being told by the authorities to prepare for a no-deal Brexit – even supposing the spokesman also said that the authorities concept that leaving with a deal remained the “possibly scenario”. A publicity advertising campaign shall be launched to provide of us with the toddle within the park they need.
  • Some eighty,000 emails are going out to businesses and industry groups this week with suggestion about no-deal planning. A a hundred-online page Partnership Pack might possibly also be on hand on-line to provide companies with knowledge about what they should always originate.
  • The Treasury will quickly provide knowledge about how an additional £2bn distributed for no-deal planning shall be spent.

I will put up extra dinky print from the briefing quickly.





Cabinet agrees to implement no-deal Brexit plans ‘in paunchy’, No 10 says

I’m marvelous relieve from the foyer briefing. And it used to be a kind of briefing where the message used to be both fully anticipated, and fairly placing too.

  • The cabinet has agreed to implement its no-deal plans “in paunchy”, Downing Avenue has said.

I will put up extra very quickly.

Up as much as now





That is a significant quote.

Steven Swinford
(@Steven_Swinford)

This used to be surely be THE quote of nowadays’s Cabinet.

David Gauke described a managed no-deal as a ‘unicorn that desires to be slaughtered’.

Heart-broken unicorns…

🦄🦄🦄🦄🦄


December 18, 2018

I’m off to the foyer briefing now. I will put up over again after 12.45pm.

David Gauke, the justice secretary, leaving cabinet

David Gauke, the justice secretary, leaving cabinet Picture: Kirsty O’Connor/PA




Extra from Steven Swinford, who has had an early cabinet study-out.

Steven Swinford
(@Steven_Swinford)

There used to be stylish agreement round stepping up no deal planning.

Loads of ministers pushed for it to develop into ‘central planning assumption’, though no longer clear if there used to be consensus on this.

Liz Truss said there ought to be day to day no-deal Cobra conferences in NY to obtain UK ready.


December 18, 2018





Cabinet is now over. That is from the Telegraph’s Steven Swinford.

Steven Swinford
(@Steven_Swinford)

They’re out of Cabinet.

Early suggestions that ministers grew to develop into on Amber Rudd & others over indicative vote.

Jeremy Hunt, Andrea Leadsom, Liz Truss said to be particularly vocal in opposition. PM also adverse.

One offer said that the concept of indicative votes used to be ‘squashed’.


December 18, 2018